Term Positive but not a Game Changer
(The following statement was released by the rating agency) LONDON, June 30 (Fitch) The signing of an EU Association Canada Goose online Agreement will be canadian goose jacket a positive long term development for Georgia’s sovereign credit profile, Fitch Ratings says. But it does not have an immediate impact on our ratings assessment, which remains focused on the nearer term prospects for external canada goose coats finances and economic growth. In time, the Association Agreement, which includes a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) canada goose coats on sale agreement covering trade in goods including energy and services, will open up uk canada goose outlet EU markets for canada goose factory sale Georgia’s exporters, potentially boosting growth. In 2012, an EU commissioned study said that, if implemented and sustained, the DCFTA could increase exports to the EU by 12%, and imports by 7.5%. In the long run, it could boost national income by EUR292m. We already factor Canada Goose Jackets strong growth potential into our assessment of Georgia’s creditworthiness. The country’s GDP growth rate slowed sharply canada goose black friday sale in Canada Goose Outlet 2013 due to under execution of large public investment programmes, but renewed investment growth should help canada goose growth to average 5% in 2014 and 5.5% in 2015. Better relations with Russia boosted exports in 2H13, which combined cheap canada goose uk with the slowdown in import intensive investment helped Georgia’s canada goose uk shop current account deficit (CAD) to narrow canada goose uk outlet sharply. But we think structural weaknesses of the export base and the need to cheap Canada Goose import essential goods will keep the CAD well above the ‘BB’ category median, although it should shrink gradually from 2014. The government forecasts the CAD to remain above 7% of GDP until 2017. While the lifting of Russian embargoes on some products such as wine boosted exports last year, the long term benefits may be limited as Russia receives a small share of Georgia’s goods exports, and accounted https://www.canadagoose-coats.ca for just 3% of net FDI in 2009 2013. This should, however, uk canada goose limit the impact of a canada goose store Russian economic slowdown on Georgia’s growth prospects. It is not yet clear what action if any Russia will take in response to the Association Agreement, but relations have improved under the Georgian governments of Bidzina Ivanishvili and Irakli Garibashvili. The chief driver of FDI in the near term is likely to be the recent launch of the Georgia Co Investment Fund, in which billionaire and former Prime Minister Ivanishvili is the main shareholder. This could buy canada goose jacket cheap see FDI grow substantially. Further improvements in the CAD and in Canada Goose Online FDI inflows should boost foreign exchange reserves, reducing external vulnerability and supporting exchange rate stability. The Association buy canada goose jacket Agreement is also positive in providing a policy anchor for structural reform. The experience of other countries that Canada Goose Parka have signed Association Agreements suggests that they do promote structural reform, although this can be uneven it 2018 canada goose may be more focused on institutional than economic reforms, for example. We affirmed Georgia’s sovereign rating ‘BB ‘ with Stable Outlook on 9 May. Our next scheduled review is on 17 October. The above article originally appeared as a post on the Fitch Wire credit market commentary page. All opinions canada goose clearance expressed are those of Fitch Ratings. Applicable Criteria and Related Research: Georgia here ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: here. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE Canada Goose sale AT ALL TIMES. FITCH’S CODE OF CONDUCT, canada goose uk black friday CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES canada goose clearance sale AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE ‘CODE OF CONDUCT’ SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE Canada Goose Coats On Sale.